Are we really prepared for an eventual Human-to-Human Bird Flu Pandemic…unfortunately I think not !
The recent release of information concerning Bird Flu and where it only takes three mutations to become an airborne killer virus, should send shivers down the spine of everyone. For the Spanish Flu virus of 1918 according to research conclusions determined over the past few years was taken first where it initially occurred from the Southern States of the USA to Europe. The killer virus was taken to Europe and not the other way around. These were in healthy young hosts and at their age they had strong immune systems. When this virus spread through the trenches these young soldiers were struck down and it is estimated that more of our soldiers died from the virus than German bullets and bombs. When the war ended the virus was taken back across the world as the soldiers arrived back from the Great War. Those it infected in the returning home countries also had strong immune systems but it still killed tens of millions. As there were only around 1.8 billion humans then and now there are over 7 billion, a similar deadly virus would kill up to 378 million worldwide on the same basis and possibly even more because of rapid transit systems around the world now compared to 1918. Indeed possibly double this number if a human-to-human avian flu pandemic emerged (which it unfortunately will) to nearly 800 million deaths due to rapid transit systems today. That is why this drugs strategy is so futile as hardly any of these will be saved due to the time it takes to create an antidote, mass manufacture and distribute to the world-at-large – approx. 6 months longer than the when the Spanish Flu did its worst in 1918 when up to 100 million lives were taken by this killer virus. It is also one of the most dreadful ways to die if people research into the Spanish Flu. Therefore we really have to adopt the strategy http://avian-influenza.cirad.fr/content/do… before it is far too late to do anything about such a human tragedy and which would be the greatest single killer in history. We are basically living on borrowed time and that is a truism of the first order if what Dr. Margaret Chan, Director-General of the WHO has stated, “it is only a matter of time not when”. The damage/destruction to global business will be unparalleled.
Dr David Hill
World Innovation Foundation
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