Thursday, November 3, 2011

NYT: Interactive Tool Forecasts Presidential Race

Posted By on Thu, Nov 3, 2011 at 10:10 AM

What are the chances that Barack Obama can beat Mitt Romney (or any other GOP candidate)? Do the math. Or at least let a team of political scientists and election wonks do it for you.

In this coming Sunday's New York Times Magazine, reporter Nate Silver teams with his colleagues to track President Obama's re-election prospects. But apart from the usual old-school trends and analysis, the Times has unveiled a pretty amazing interactive feature that uses three key variables: the nation's Gross Domestic Product (economic growth indicator), Obama's approval ratings a year in advance of the election, and the ideology of any of Obama's opponents.

The tool is completely interactive—you can choose a GOP challenger, move around the GDP, and toy with Obama's approval rating. The full text of the article doesn't hit newsstands until Sunday, but you can preview the forecasting tool here.

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