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Re: “Pro Mega-load Group Unveils Poll of Support

The conclusion reported by this small business coalition, "a 'solid majority' of Idahoans support massive oil equipment rolling across U.S. Highway 12,' is inaccurate and misleading. Because of the nature of their survey and participants in the sample, this conclusion does not match the findings of the survey. The conclusion is misdirected or skewed in favor of the views of the small business coalition, proponents of the megaloads.

A major problem is the validity of the survey. There is no information about the individuals who were surveyed, how they were selected, and the nature of the survey questions. Without this information, the reader cannot verify the results or accurately assess the conclusions. Instead, we see the conclusion from the survey supporting the views of the megaloads proponents and of those who paid for the survey.

After many years of conducting surveys and teaching research methods, I can only conclude that this poll suffers from methodological and interpretation biases.

As for Southwestern Idaho residents (Boise and SW Idaho) in the survey, again we do not know how these 450 were chosen to participate. In a metropolitan area of Boise, it would not be difficult to find 225 or so individuals who are not aware of the HW 12 issue and its impact. The Idaho Statesman and Boise Weekly are providing regular and accurate coverage – but it would again be easy to find 225+ who do not read newspapers.

I must conclude that the poll’s potential problems with methodology and interpretation render the findings inaccurate at best. Findings appear to have been provided only to underscore the position of the ITD and megaload proponents.

In reality, the local HW 12 businesses are indeed concerned about the negative effects that “rolling shutdowns” would have on moving local goods. The poll could have asked respondents if they favor “keeping the road open to all free flowing traffic". That question apparently was not asked in the poll and this is not surprising because its answer apparently was not what the small business coalition wanted to hear or report.

Posted by BJIdaho on 01/26/2011 at 3:03 PM

Re: “Mega-loads Expected to Roll Tuesday, Feb. 1

It was frustrating that Mr. Ness did not agree to listen to the last appeal by the HW12 opponents. The HW12 opponents noted that none of the evidence they submitted in the appeal was cited in the final report by the Hearing Officer.

Valuing the voice and concerns of Idaho's citizens continues to be a secondary priority.

Posted by BJIdaho on 01/20/2011 at 10:09 AM

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